Matchup Machine

Jonathan India

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matchup for Sandy Alcantara

407th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Sandy Alcantara

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matchup for Jonathan India

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for India
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Model Prediction

Jonathan India has a 37.2% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 0.0% higher than India's typical expectations, and 5.0% higher than batters facing Alcantara.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.2%20.7%2.6%4.0%14.1%16.6%23.2%
India0.0-1.7-0.2-0.6-1.0+1.7+3.3
Alcantara+5.0-1.2+0.2-0.9-0.6+6.2-3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonathan India is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. India has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Jonathan India has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jonathan India's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% +2.6% 2%         Walk +5.2% -0.7% 39%         In Play +0.4% -1.9% 39%         On Base +6.0% -4.1% 31%         Hit +0.8% -3.3% 14%         Single +0.0% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -1.4%

History

Jonathan India has 8 plate appearances against Sandy Alcantara in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual872002210.286
Expected From Contact →1.950.000.151.800.279
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-13Walk
2023-05-13Single15%74%11%
2023-05-13Strikeout
2023-05-13Hit By Pitch
2022-08-03Strikeout
2022-08-03Groundout10%90%
2022-08-03Groundout10%90%
2022-08-03Single86%13%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.