Matchup Machine

Jonathan India

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matchup for A.J. Puk

356th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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A.J. Puk

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matchup for Jonathan India

564th out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Strong advantage for Puk
6

Model Prediction

Jonathan India has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs A.J. Puk, which is 9.0% lower than India's typical expectations, and 3.5% higher than batters facing Puk.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.2%18.2%2.5%4.3%11.4%10.0%33.8%
India-9.0-4.2-0.3-0.2-3.7-4.9+13.9
Puk+3.5-0.5-0.1-0.3-0.1+4.1-3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonathan India is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. A.J. Puk is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. India has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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A.J. Puk throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Jonathan India has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Slider (L)
38%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jonathan India's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. A.J. Puk strikes out 20.8% of the batters he faces, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% +8.0% 2%         Walk +5.2% -1.3% 39%         In Play +0.4% -6.8% 39%         On Base +6.0% -4.0% 31%         Hit +0.8% -2.7% 14%         Single +0.0% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.4%

History

Jonathan India has 1 plate appearance against A.J. Puk in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-14Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.