Matchup Machine

Jonathan India

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matchup for Austin Gomber

408th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Jonathan India

156th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Extreme advantage for India
10

Model Prediction

Jonathan India has a 35.7% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.5% lower than India's typical expectations, and 4.0% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.7%25.8%3.9%6.0%15.9%9.9%13.5%
India-1.5+3.4+1.1+1.5+0.9-5.0-6.4
Gomber+4.0-0.1+0.6-0.7+0.0+4.0-4.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonathan India is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. India has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Jonathan India has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jonathan India's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% -3.3% 2%         Walk +5.2% -2.5% 39%         In Play +0.4% +5.9% 39%         On Base +6.0% +0.6% 31%         Hit +0.8% +3.1% 14%         Single +0.0% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.3%

History

Jonathan India has 9 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual972002220.286
Expected From Contact →1.830.000.870.960.261
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-11Walk
2024-07-11Forceout5%95%
2024-07-11Single84%13%3%
2023-06-19Field Error
2023-06-19Flyout2%98%
2023-06-19Strikeout
2023-05-17Walk
2023-05-17Strikeout
2023-05-17Single78%22%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.