Matchup Machine

Jonathan India

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matchup for Miles Mikolas

386th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

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Miles Mikolas

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matchup for Jonathan India

228th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Extreme advantage for India
9

Model Prediction

Jonathan India has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 2.1% lower than India's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Mikolas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.1%29.2%3.7%5.9%19.6%5.9%17.3%
India-2.1+6.8+0.9+1.4+4.5-8.9-2.6
Mikolas+2.9+1.1+0.4-0.7+1.4+1.8-3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonathan India is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. India has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Jonathan India has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
27%
   Slider (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jonathan India's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% -3.3% 2%         Walk +5.2% -3.9% 39%         In Play +0.4% +7.2% 39%         On Base +6.0% -0.6% 31%         Hit +0.8% +3.3% 14%         Single +0.0% +1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +1.8% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.0%

History

Jonathan India has 20 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 18 with 2 home runs, a double and 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual20186213220.333
Expected From Contact →7.211.841.893.470.400
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-27Double80%13%7%
2024-06-27Flyout27%26%2%44%
2024-06-27Single2%41%57%
2023-09-10Walk
2023-09-10Home Run81%11%7%
2023-06-10Groundout5%16%79%
2023-06-10Hit By Pitch
2023-06-10Flyout99%
2023-05-25Flyout36%64%
2023-05-25Fielders Choice Out4%95%
2023-05-25Single15%71%15%
2022-09-15Walk
2022-09-15Lineout58%41%
2022-09-15Flyout1%98%
2022-08-29Single75%24%
2022-08-29Groundout27%73%
2022-08-29Strikeout
2022-07-16Strikeout
2022-07-16Flyout25%20%54%
2022-07-16Home Run51%26%3%20%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.