Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kyle Tucker

matchup for Chase Silseth

429th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

Chase Silseth

matchup for Kyle Tucker

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Tucker

Kyle Tucker has a 39.6% chance of reaching base vs Chase Silseth, which is 2.4% higher than Tucker's typical expectations, and 7.4% higher than batters facing Silseth.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	39.6%	20.5%	4.7%	3.6%	12.2%	19.2%	21.9%
Tucker	+2.4	-1.7	+0.6	-1.1	-1.2	+4.1	+3.0
Silseth	+7.4	-0.2	+1.9	-0.4	-1.7	+7.6	-6.5

Kyle Tucker is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chase Silseth is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Tucker has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Chase Silseth throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Kyle Tucker has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Slider (R)

24%

Splitter (R)

17%

Sinker (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

9% of Chase Silseth's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Kyle Tucker has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

35% of Chase Silseth's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Kyle Tucker has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 35%

+16%

Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Large Drop 14%

+9%

10.0% of Kyle Tucker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Chase Silseth strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.7% +5.2% 1%

Walk +6.8% +4.8% 39%

In Play +0.8% -10.0% 39%

On Base +4.1% -0.6% 31%

Hit -2.8% -5.4% 14%

Single -3.3% -3.2% 13%

2B / 3B -2.6% -2.8% 3%

Home Run +3.1% +0.5%

26.3% of Kyle Tucker's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Chase Silseth induces Standard Grounders at a 35.7% rate, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% +1.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -3.2% -2.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.6% -0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% +3.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% -1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.9% +1.3% 3%

Pop up +1.5% -0.8%

27.3% of Kyle Tucker's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. 29.9% of batted balls allowed by Chase Silseth are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.5% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.7% -5.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.1% +4.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.1% -4.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.0% +5.6%

14.1% of Kyle Tucker's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Chase Silseth are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.8% -1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.0% +0.9% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% -2.4% 18%

7 to 18° +1.5% +6.1% 15%

19 to 28° +1.6% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° +2.6% +1.4% 7%

39 to 50° +0.7% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +2.3% -3.8%

Kyle Tucker has 3 plate appearances against Chase Silseth in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with 2 doubles and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	2	0	2	0	0	0	0.667
Expected From Contact →			2.01	0.07	1.64	0.30			0.669

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-13	Flyout		6%		93%
2023-08-13	Double	7%	85%	7%	2%
2023-06-02	Double		73%	23%	4%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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