Matchup Machine

Kyle Tucker

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

398th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Kyle Tucker

554th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Leans in favor of Tucker
1

Model Prediction

Kyle Tucker has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.9% lower than Tucker's typical expectations, and 4.9% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%20.6%3.3%4.1%13.2%11.7%31.1%
Tucker-4.9-1.5-0.8-0.7-0.1-3.4+12.2
Crochet+4.9-0.3+0.8-0.9-0.2+5.2-4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Tucker is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Tucker has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Kyle Tucker has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.0% of Kyle Tucker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.7% +9.4% 1%         Walk +6.8% -1.3% 39%         In Play +0.8% -8.1% 39%         On Base +4.1% -3.9% 31%         Hit -2.8% -2.5% 14%         Single -3.3% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.6% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +3.1% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years