Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kyle Tucker

matchup for Jake Latz

434th out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Jake Latz

matchup for Kyle Tucker

66th out of 567 (Best 12%)

Extreme advantage for Tucker

Kyle Tucker has a 42.6% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 5.3% higher than Tucker's typical expectations, and 8.1% higher than batters facing Latz.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	42.6%	19.2%	4.1%	4.9%	10.2%	23.3%	15.3%
Tucker	+5.3	-2.9	+0.1	+0.1	-3.1	+8.3	-3.7
Latz	+8.1	-1.6	+1.4	0.0	-3.0	+9.8	-7.5

Kyle Tucker is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Tucker has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Kyle Tucker has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

50%

Changeup (L)

23%

Slider (L)

22%

Curve (L)

7% of Jake Latz's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Kyle Tucker has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

42% of Jake Latz's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Kyle Tucker has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 42%

+23%

Fast Velo 32%

+22%

High Ride 31%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 23%

+10%

10.0% of Kyle Tucker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.7% -1.3% 1%

Walk +6.8% +6.7% 39%

In Play +0.8% -5.5% 39%

On Base +4.1% +1.7% 31%

Hit -2.8% -5.1% 14%

Single -3.3% -3.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.6% -3.0% 3%

Home Run +3.1% +1.4%

26.3% of Kyle Tucker's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Jake Latz induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% -5.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -3.2% -3.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.6% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.9% +3.3% 3%

Pop up +1.5% +7.7%

27.3% of Kyle Tucker's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. 23.7% of batted balls allowed by Jake Latz are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.5% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.7% -1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.1% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.1% +2.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.0% -0.6%

14.1% of Kyle Tucker's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Jake Latz are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.8% -2.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.0% -5.2% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +2.4% 18%

7 to 18° +1.5% -4.2% 15%

19 to 28° +1.6% +1.9% 11%

29 to 38° +2.6% +0.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.7% -2.5% 8%

Above 50° +2.3% +10.1%

Kyle Tucker has 3 plate appearances against Jake Latz in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.45	0.00	0.25	0.20			0.150

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-13	Double		24%	19%	57%
2024-04-07	Flyout				100%
2024-04-05	Flyout			1%	98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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