Matchup Machine

Kyle Tucker

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

433rd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Kyle Tucker

112th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Extreme advantage for Tucker
10

Model Prediction

Kyle Tucker has a 40.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.5% higher than Tucker's typical expectations, and 7.0% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction40.7%21.2%3.9%5.8%11.5%19.5%15.1%
Tucker+3.5-0.9-0.1+1.0-1.8+4.4-3.9
Anderson+7.0-1.0+1.0+0.6-2.6+8.0-6.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Tucker is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tucker has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Kyle Tucker has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

10.0% of Kyle Tucker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.7% -1.9% 1%         Walk +6.8% -1.0% 39%         In Play +0.8% +2.9% 39%         On Base +4.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.8% +0.9% 14%         Single -3.3% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.6% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +3.1% -0.2%

History

Kyle Tucker has 11 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 10 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual11106105010.600
Expected From Contact →5.221.001.252.970.522
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-20Single3%86%11%
2024-09-20Single57%25%18%
2024-05-22Pop Out99%
2024-05-22Pop Out100%
2024-05-22Groundout19%81%
2024-05-22Walk
2023-08-12Flyout100%
2023-08-12Single4%88%8%
2023-08-12Home Run100%
2023-07-16Single36%21%43%
2023-07-16Single24%58%18%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.