Matchup Machine

Ke'Bryan Hayes

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

196th out of 436 (Best 46%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Ke'Bryan Hayes

534th out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.9% lower than Hayes's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.8%21.5%1.3%4.9%15.3%5.3%30.7%
Hayes-4.9-3.0-0.40.0-2.6-1.9+11.0
Crochet-0.7+0.5-1.2-0.1+1.8-1.2-4.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Ke'Bryan Hayes is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Hayes has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Ke'Bryan Hayes has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.0% +9.4% 6%         Walk -3.8% -1.3% 36%         In Play +8.8% -8.1% 39%         On Base +3.3% -3.9% 31%         Hit +7.0% -2.5% 14%         Single +4.1% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +4.3% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.4% +0.1%

History

Ke'Bryan Hayes has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-12Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.