Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.9% lower than Hayes's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Crochet.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 26.8% | 21.5% | 1.3% | 4.9% | 15.3% | 5.3% | 30.7% |
Hayes | -4.9 | -3.0 | -0.4 | 0.0 | -2.6 | -1.9 | +11.0 |
Crochet | -0.7 | +0.5 | -1.2 | -0.1 | +1.8 | -1.2 | -4.6 |
Ke'Bryan Hayes is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Hayes has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Ke'Bryan Hayes has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers
11.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Ke'Bryan Hayes has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-07-12 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.