Matchup Machine

Ke'Bryan Hayes

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matchup for Tanner Houck

314th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Ke'Bryan Hayes

213th out of 567 (Best 38%)

Moderate advantage for Hayes
4

Model Prediction

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 2.2% higher than Hayes's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.8%25.9%1.3%4.3%20.2%7.9%15.9%
Hayes+2.2+1.4-0.3-0.6+2.4+0.7-3.8
Houck+2.0+3.8-0.80.0+4.6-1.8-3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Ke'Bryan Hayes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Hayes has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.0% -1.6% 6%         Walk -3.8% +0.2% 36%         In Play +8.8% +1.4% 39%         On Base +3.3% +0.4% 31%         Hit +7.0% +0.3% 14%         Single +4.1% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +4.3% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years