Matchup Machine

Ke'Bryan Hayes

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matchup for M. Rodriguez

286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Manuel Rodriguez

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matchup for Ke'Bryan Hayes

347th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Hayes
1

Model Prediction

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Manuel Rodriguez, which is 0.4% higher than Hayes's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%24.1%1.1%5.0%18.0%8.0%20.6%
Hayes+0.4-0.4-0.6+0.0+0.1+0.8+0.9
Rodriguez+0.8+2.7-0.8+0.4+3.1-1.9-3.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Ke'Bryan Hayes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Manuel Rodriguez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hayes has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Manuel Rodriguez throws a Slider 39% of the time. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
39%
   Sinker (R)
38%
   4-Seam (R)
23%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.0% -0.9% 6%         Walk -3.8% -0.7% 36%         In Play +8.8% +1.6% 39%         On Base +3.3% -3.4% 31%         Hit +7.0% -2.7% 14%         Single +4.1% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +4.3% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years