Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ke'Bryan Hayes

matchup for Dakota Hudson

245th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Dakota Hudson

matchup for Ke'Bryan Hayes

7th out of 567 (Best 2%)

Extreme advantage for Hayes

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 37.6% chance of reaching base vs Dakota Hudson, which is 5.9% higher than Hayes's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Hudson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.6%	29.3%	1.6%	5.9%	21.8%	8.3%	8.5%
Hayes	+5.9	+4.8	0.0	+0.9	+3.9	+1.1	-11.2
Hudson	+0.4	+4.1	-1.0	0.0	+5.1	-3.6	-3.9

Ke'Bryan Hayes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Dakota Hudson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Hayes has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Dakota Hudson throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a B- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

41%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

17%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Dakota Hudson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Ke'Bryan Hayes has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 6%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 8%

-4%

33% of Dakota Hudson's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 33%

+20%

Large Break 34%

+13%

Medium Velo 20%

+10%

11.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Dakota Hudson strikes out 10.3% of the batters he faces, which is 7.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.0% -7.7% 6%

Walk -3.8% +3.2% 36%

In Play +8.8% +4.5% 39%

On Base +3.3% +4.9% 31%

Hit +7.0% +1.7% 14%

Single +4.1% +1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +4.3% +1.6% 3%

Home Run -1.4% -1.0%

36.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Dakota Hudson induces Standard Grounders at a 41.2% rate, which is 6.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.2% +6.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.4% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -2.3% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.9% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -1.7% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.6% -3.3% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -1.3%

31.9% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.6% higher than the league average. 26.2% of batted balls allowed by Dakota Hudson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.4% -3.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -0.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.6% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.6% +1.9%

7.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. 8.1% of batted balls allowed by Dakota Hudson are hit at this angle, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.2% +6.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.4% +2.7% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +0.0% 18%

7 to 18° +1.3% +0.5% 15%

19 to 28° -2.0% -3.9% 11%

29 to 38° -3.8% -3.3% 7%

39 to 50° -0.4% -0.4% 8%

Above 50° -0.7% -2.1%

Ke'Bryan Hayes has 5 plate appearances against Dakota Hudson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.38	0.05	0.04	0.30			0.096

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-01	Groundout			4%	96%
2023-09-01	Flyout	5%	3%		92%
2023-09-01	Groundout			15%	85%
2022-10-04	Groundout			11%	88%
2022-10-04	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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