Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 1.9% higher than Hayes's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Chirinos.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 33.7% | 26.0% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 19.4% | 7.6% | 15.4% |
Hayes | +1.9 | +1.5 | +0.3 | -0.1 | +1.3 | +0.5 | -4.0 |
Chirinos | -0.5 | +2.2 | -1.2 | -0.4 | +3.7 | -2.7 | -4.1 |
Ke'Bryan Hayes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hayes has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers
14% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Ke'Bryan Hayes has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
40% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a B grade against this type of pitch.
11.5% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 9.9% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
36.5% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Yonny Chirinos induces Standard Grounders at a 36.7% rate, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
31.9% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.6% higher than the league average. 25.6% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
7.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at this angle, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Ke'Bryan Hayes has 3 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a home run and a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.94 | 0.99 | 0.06 | 0.88 | 0.647 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-08-08 | Home Run | 99% | |||
2023-08-08 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-08-08 | Double | 6% | 88% | 6% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.