Matchup Machine

      Ke'Bryan Hayes

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      matchup for Yonny Chirinos

      176th out of 436 (Best 41%)

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      Yonny Chirinos

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      matchup for Ke'Bryan Hayes

      128th out of 564 (Best 24%)

      Strong advantage for Hayes
      6

      Model Prediction

      Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 1.9% higher than Hayes's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Chirinos.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Ke'Bryan Hayes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hayes has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      51%
         Slider (R)
      25%
         Splitter (R)
      20%

      Contact and Outcomes

      11.5% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 9.9% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.2% -7.8% 6%         Walk -3.8% -0.5% 36%         In Play +9.0% +8.3% 39%         On Base +3.4% +2.4% 31%         Hit +7.2% +2.9% 14%         Single +4.3% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +4.4% +1.4% 3%         Home Run -1.5% +0.4%

      History

      Ke'Bryan Hayes has 3 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a home run and a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual332110100.667
      Expected From Contact →1.940.990.060.880.647
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-08-08Home Run99%
      2023-08-08Strikeout
      2023-08-08Double6%88%6%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.