Matchup Machine

Ke'Bryan Hayes

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matchup for Yunior Marte

242nd out of 436 (Worst 45%)

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Yunior Marte

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matchup for Ke'Bryan Hayes

78th out of 567 (Best 15%)

Strong advantage for Hayes
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Model Prediction

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 36.3% chance of reaching base vs Yunior Marte, which is 4.6% higher than Hayes's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Marte.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.3%26.4%1.6%4.6%20.1%9.9%16.8%
Hayes+4.6+1.90.0-0.3+2.2+2.7-3.0
Marte+0.2+2.7-1.00.0+3.8-2.5-5.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Ke'Bryan Hayes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yunior Marte is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hayes has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yunior Marte throws a Slider 41% of the time. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
41%
   Sinker (R)
40%
   4-Seam (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Yunior Marte strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.0% -2.5% 6%         Walk -3.8% +1.0% 36%         In Play +8.8% +1.5% 39%         On Base +3.3% +11.4% 31%         Hit +7.0% +10.4% 14%         Single +4.1% +5.3% 13%         2B / 3B +4.3% +5.7% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -0.5%

History

Ke'Bryan Hayes has 2 plate appearances against Yunior Marte in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.370.000.020.350.187
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-21Single2%35%63%
2024-04-12Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.