Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ke'Bryan Hayes

matchup for Caleb Thielbar

168th out of 436 (Best 39%)

Caleb Thielbar

matchup for Ke'Bryan Hayes

366th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Leans in favor of Thielbar

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.2% higher than Hayes's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Thielbar.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.9%	24.3%	1.7%	5.0%	17.7%	7.5%	25.6%
Hayes	+0.2	-0.1	+0.0	+0.0	-0.2	+0.4	+5.9
Thielbar	+0.0	+2.5	-1.6	0.0	+4.2	-2.5	-2.4

Ke'Bryan Hayes is better vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hayes has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ke'Bryan Hayes has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Slider (L)

29%

Curve (L)

22%

16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Ke'Bryan Hayes has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Ke'Bryan Hayes has an A+ grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 50%

+21%

Small Break 29%

+21%

Slow Lob 22%

+18%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

11.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.0% +5.2% 6%

Walk -3.8% +1.9% 36%

In Play +8.8% -7.1% 39%

On Base +3.3% -6.1% 31%

Hit +7.0% -8.0% 14%

Single +4.1% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +4.3% -3.9% 3%

Home Run -1.4% +0.2%

36.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.2% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.4% -3.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.3% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.9% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -1.7% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.6% +2.4% 3%

Pop up +0.3% +5.0%

31.9% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.6% higher than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.4% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.6% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.6% -1.0%

7.6% of Ke'Bryan Hayes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%