matchup for Zac Gallen
matchup for R. Mountcastle
1
Ryan Mountcastle has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 0.6% lower than Mountcastle's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Gallen.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.3% | 22.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 30.8% |
| Mountcastle | -0.6 | -2.4 | +0.0 | -0.1 | -2.3 | +1.9 | +6.4 |
| Gallen | -2.4 | +1.9 | +0.1 | +0.5 | +1.3 | -4.3 | +0.5 |
Ryan Mountcastle is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Mountcastle has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ryan Mountcastle has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
49%
Kn-Curve (R)
23%
Changeup (R)
14%
Cutter (R)
10%
22% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ryan Mountcastle has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
22%
+2%
Chaser
8%
+2%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Weak Challenge
7%
-1%
Meatball
5%
-2%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
25% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Ryan Mountcastle has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Small Break
25%
+16%
Extreme Drop
19%
+14%
Medium Fast Velo
24%
+8%
14.4% of Ryan Mountcastle's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
-0.3%
+3.5%
6%
Walk
-3.3%
-0.3%
38%
In Play
+3.7%
-3.2%
39%
On Base
+5.1%
-1.9%
31%
Hit
+8.5%
-1.6%
14%
Single
+3.8%
-0.9%
13%
2B / 3B
+4.2%
-0.5%
3%
Home Run
+0.5%
-0.1%
30.8% of Ryan Mountcastle's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen induces Standard Grounders at a 32.8% rate, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
+0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-3.6%
-1.6%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.9%
+1.8%
14%
Low Screamer
+0.9%
+1.5%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.3%
-1.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.7%
+0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.1%
-0.3%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
-0.3%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.8%
+0.4%
3%
Pop up
-0.4%
-1.0%
29.6% of Ryan Mountcastle's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.3% higher than the league average. 25.9% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.5%
-0.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.5%
-2.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-0.9%
+0.5%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.4%
+0.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
+5.3%
+1.6%
12.3% of Ryan Mountcastle's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.1%
-0.8%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.7%
+0.6%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.9%
-0.6%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.0%
+1.4%
15%
19 to 28°
0.0%
+0.6%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.8%
-1.2%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.3%
+1.0%
8%
Above 50°
+1.3%
-1.0%
Ryan Mountcastle has 7 plate appearances against Zac Gallen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 7 with 2 strikeouts.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.22 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 0.031 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-05-12 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-05-12 | GIDP | 4% | 96% | ||
| 2024-05-12 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2023-09-03 | Caught Stealing Home | ||||
| 2023-09-03 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-09-03 | Lineout | 11% | 87% | ||
| 2023-09-03 | Groundout | 4% | 96% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
