Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Trevor Larnach

matchup for Ryan Weathers

261st out of 436 (Worst 40%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Trevor Larnach

474th out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Leans in favor of Weathers

Trevor Larnach has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.4% lower than Larnach's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	20.5%	2.8%	5.2%	12.5%	9.4%	26.1%
Larnach	-3.4	-1.3	-0.7	0.0	-0.6	-2.1	+0.9
Weathers	+0.0	-1.1	+0.7	-0.4	-1.4	+1.1	+1.4

Trevor Larnach is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Larnach doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Trevor Larnach has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Trevor Larnach has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Trevor Larnach has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

15.0% of Trevor Larnach's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.6% -2.1% 3%

Walk +1.9% -0.6% 41%

In Play -2.5% +2.7% 39%

On Base +0.0% +0.9% 31%

Hit -1.9% +1.5% 14%

Single -1.6% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -0.5%

30.6% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.8% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.0% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.3% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +1.6% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.8% -5.5% 3%

Pop up -1.6% +1.2%

33.6% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.8% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.0% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.3% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.3% +1.1%

14.0% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%