Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Trevor Larnach

matchup for Matt Festa

415th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

Matt Festa

matchup for Trevor Larnach

192nd out of 567 (Best 35%)

Strong advantage for Larnach

Trevor Larnach has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 0.3% higher than Larnach's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Festa.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.7%	24.9%	3.7%	7.8%	13.5%	8.7%	25.6%
Larnach	+0.3	+3.1	+0.2	+2.6	+0.4	-2.8	+0.4
Festa	+2.9	+1.6	+0.9	+2.0	-1.3	+1.2	+0.4

Trevor Larnach is better vs right-handed pitching. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Larnach has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Trevor Larnach has a B- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

47%

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

8% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Trevor Larnach has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

31% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Trevor Larnach has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 31%

+18%

Breaking (R) 49%

+18%

Large Break 20%

+16%

Small Drop 25%

+13%

15.0% of Trevor Larnach's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.6% +2.6% 3%

Walk +1.9% +3.5% 41%

In Play -2.5% -6.1% 39%

On Base +0.0% +0.8% 31%

Hit -1.9% -2.7% 14%

Single -1.6% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% -1.0% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -0.2%

30.6% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. Matt Festa induces Standard Grounders at a 28.3% rate, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.8% -6.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.0% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.3% +4.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +1.6% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.8% -1.2% 3%

Pop up -1.6% +2.1%

33.6% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.8% 0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.0% +6.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.3% -1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% -4.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.3% -0.7%

14.0% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 12.9% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%