Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Trevor Larnach

matchup for Corbin Burnes

396th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Corbin Burnes

matchup for Trevor Larnach

349th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Moderate advantage for Larnach

Trevor Larnach has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Corbin Burnes, which is 1.6% lower than Larnach's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Burnes.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	21.8%	3.4%	5.1%	13.4%	9.9%	22.8%
Larnach	-1.6	+0.0	-0.1	-0.1	+0.3	-1.6	-2.4
Burnes	+1.9	0.0	+1.0	+0.7	-1.7	+1.9	-0.3

Trevor Larnach is better vs right-handed pitching. Corbin Burnes is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Larnach has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Corbin Burnes throws a Cutter 52% of the time. Trevor Larnach has an A+ grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

52%

Curve (R)

19%

Slider (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

10%

Sinker (R)

24% of Corbin Burnes's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Trevor Larnach has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 24%

+4%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

47% of Corbin Burnes's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Trevor Larnach has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 47%

+23%

Fast Velo 36%

+21%

Small Break 31%

+20%

15.0% of Trevor Larnach's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.6% +3.2% 3%

Walk +1.9% -1.6% 41%

In Play -2.5% -1.6% 39%

On Base +0.0% -3.4% 31%

Hit -1.9% -1.8% 14%

Single -1.6% -0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% -0.2% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -0.8%

30.6% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. Corbin Burnes induces Standard Grounders at a 40.0% rate, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.8% +5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.0% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -0.3% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -1.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% -1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +1.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.8% -2.7% 3%

Pop up -1.6% 0.0%

33.6% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. 23.7% of batted balls allowed by Corbin Burnes are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.8% +2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.0% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.3% +2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% -4.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.3% -0.6%

14.0% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Corbin Burnes are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%