Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Trevor Larnach

matchup for Chris Paddack

312th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

Chris Paddack

matchup for Trevor Larnach

328th out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Moderate advantage for Larnach

Trevor Larnach has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 2.8% lower than Larnach's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Paddack.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.5%	22.8%	4.0%	6.3%	12.5%	7.7%	24.3%
Larnach	-2.8	+1.0	+0.6	+1.1	-0.6	-3.8	-0.9
Paddack	+0.3	-0.9	+0.7	+0.7	-2.3	+1.2	+2.0

Trevor Larnach is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Larnach has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Trevor Larnach has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Trevor Larnach has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

43% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Trevor Larnach has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+16%

Fast Velo 26%

+10%

15.0% of Trevor Larnach's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.6% +4.3% 3%

Walk +1.9% -3.2% 41%

In Play -2.5% -1.1% 39%

On Base +0.0% -3.8% 31%

Hit -1.9% -0.6% 14%

Single -1.6% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% -0.1% 3%

Home Run +0.9% +0.0%

30.6% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.8% -5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.0% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.3% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +1.6% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.8% +0.3% 3%

Pop up -1.6% +0.3%

33.6% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.8% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.0% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.3% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.3% +5.8%

14.0% of Trevor Larnach's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%