Matchup Machine

Trevor Larnach

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matchup for P. Sandoval

363rd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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Patrick Sandoval

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matchup for Trevor Larnach

312th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Moderate advantage for Larnach
5

Model Prediction

Trevor Larnach has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 0.7% higher than Larnach's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Sandoval.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.1%21.8%2.9%4.7%14.1%12.2%23.8%
Larnach+0.7+0.0-0.5-0.5+1.0+0.7-1.4
Sandoval+2.1-0.7+0.4+0.0-1.1+2.8+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Trevor Larnach is worse vs left-handed pitching. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Larnach has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Trevor Larnach hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (L)
27%
   4-Seam (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Sinker (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

15.0% of Trevor Larnach's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.6% +3.4% 3%         Walk +1.9% 0.0% 41%         In Play -2.5% -3.4% 39%         On Base +0.0% -0.2% 31%         Hit -1.9% -0.1% 14%         Single -1.6% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.9% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years