Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Riley

matchup for Hunter Gaddis

350th out of 436 (Worst 20%)

Hunter Gaddis

matchup for Austin Riley

477th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Leans in favor of Gaddis

Austin Riley has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 5.1% lower than Riley's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.1%	19.8%	4.5%	5.2%	10.1%	8.3%	30.6%
Riley	-5.1	-4.2	+0.7	-0.8	-4.1	-0.9	+3.9
Gaddis	+0.7	+0.3	+1.3	+0.7	-1.7	+0.4	+3.5

Austin Riley is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Riley has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Austin Riley has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

39%

Slider (R)

31%

Changeup (R)

18%

Cutter (R)

13% of Hunter Gaddis's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Chaser 4%

-2%

22% of Hunter Gaddis's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 22%

+11%

15.5% of Austin Riley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% -0.6% 4%

Walk -0.3% -1.7% 40%

In Play -1.3% +2.4% 39%

On Base +1.5% -5.5% 31%

Hit +1.8% -3.8% 14%

Single -0.7% -2.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.4% 3%

Home Run +2.8% +1.5%

27.7% of Austin Riley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis induces Standard Grounders at a 28.1% rate, which is 6.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% -6.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.0% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% +1.0% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -4.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.4% +1.0% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% +2.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.1% +5.6% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +3.4%

35.6% of Austin Riley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.3% higher than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Gaddis are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% +1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.6% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.3% +0.5%

11.5% of Austin Riley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 13.5% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Gaddis are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.1% -5.4% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.8% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° -2.3% -2.2% 18%

7 to 18° +2.8% -2.7% 15%

19 to 28° +1.3% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.0% +2.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.9% +3.4% 8%

Above 50° +2.2% +7.8%

Austin Riley has 1 plate appearance against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.85	0.82	0.04	0.00			0.851

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-28	Flyout	82%	4%		15%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe