Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Riley

matchup for Jared Jones

283rd out of 436 (Worst 35%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Austin Riley

432nd out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Riley

Austin Riley has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.5% lower than Riley's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.7%	20.4%	4.1%	5.1%	11.3%	10.3%	31.4%
Riley	-2.5	-3.5	+0.3	-0.9	-2.9	+1.0	+4.8
Jones	-0.4	-0.4	+1.2	+0.0	-1.6	+0.0	+2.9

Austin Riley is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Riley has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Austin Riley has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

15.5% of Austin Riley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% +0.4% 4%

Walk -0.3% +0.6% 40%

In Play -1.3% -1.1% 39%

On Base +1.5% -0.1% 31%

Hit +1.8% -0.8% 14%

Single -0.7% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +2.8% +0.9%

27.7% of Austin Riley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.0% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.4% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.1% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +2.5%

35.6% of Austin Riley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.3% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.6% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.3% +0.4%

11.5% of Austin Riley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%