Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Riley

matchup for Sean Reynolds

377th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Sean Reynolds

matchup for Austin Riley

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Riley

Austin Riley has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Sean Reynolds, which is 1.2% lower than Riley's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Reynolds.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	21.5%	4.3%	6.1%	11.0%	10.5%	33.5%
Riley	-1.2	-2.5	+0.6	+0.1	-3.2	+1.3	+6.9
Reynolds	+0.7	+2.1	+1.7	+1.3	-0.9	-1.4	+1.5

Austin Riley is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Sean Reynolds is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Riley has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Sean Reynolds throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Austin Riley has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

48%

Slider (R)

46%

Changeup (R)

8% of Sean Reynolds's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-3%

33% of Sean Reynolds's pitches are classified as Medium Slow Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Slow Velo 33%

+19%

Medium Drop 30%

+18%

Breaking (R) 46%

+15%

Small Break 23%

+11%

15.5% of Austin Riley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Sean Reynolds strikes out 34.7% of the batters he faces, which is 20.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% +20.7% 4%

Walk -0.3% +2.8% 40%

In Play -1.3% -23.5% 39%

On Base +1.5% -5.4% 31%

Hit +1.8% -8.2% 14%

Single -0.7% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.5% 3%

Home Run +2.8% -2.8%

27.7% of Austin Riley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Sean Reynolds induces Standard Grounders at a 28.7% rate, which is 5.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% -5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.0% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% +13.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -9.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.4% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.1% +11.6% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -3.4%

35.6% of Austin Riley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.3% higher than the league average. 17.4% of batted balls allowed by Sean Reynolds are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +11.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% -6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.6% +4.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.3% -6.9%

11.5% of Austin Riley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 12.6% of batted balls allowed by Sean Reynolds are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.1% -11.4% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.8% +5.5% 8%

1 to 6° -2.3% -3.3% 18%

7 to 18° +2.8% -3.0% 15%

19 to 28° +1.3% +10.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.0% +1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.9% -0.2% 8%

Above 50° +2.2% +0.8%

Austin Riley has 1 plate appearance against Sean Reynolds in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-14	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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