matchup for David Peterson
matchup for Austin Riley
8
Austin Riley has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 2.3% higher than Riley's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Peterson.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.4% | 23.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 25.8% |
| Riley | +2.3 | +0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | +0.7 | +2.0 | -1.4 |
| Peterson | +1.8 | +0.3 | +1.3 | +0.2 | -1.2 | +1.4 | +2.2 |
Austin Riley is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Riley has an A grade vs this particular release point.
David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Austin Riley has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
30%
Sinker (L)
24%
Slider (L)
23%
Changeup (L)
18%
Curve (L)
6%
11% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
11%
+2%
Likely Ball
22%
+2%
Non-Competitive
13%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
16%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Meatball
4%
-1%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
26% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
26%
+11%
Low Ride
34%
+11%
Slow Velo
23%
+10%
15.5% of Austin Riley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+1.6%
+0.1%
4%
Walk
-0.3%
+1.3%
40%
In Play
-1.3%
-1.3%
39%
On Base
+1.5%
+2.1%
31%
Hit
+1.8%
+0.8%
14%
Single
-0.7%
+0.7%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.3%
+1.1%
3%
Home Run
+2.8%
-1.0%
27.7% of Austin Riley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. David Peterson induces Standard Grounders at a 40.7% rate, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
+0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
-6.7%
+6.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.0%
-0.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.0%
-2.0%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.9%
-0.3%
4%
Maybe Homer
+2.4%
-2.2%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.4%
-0.3%
1%
No Doubter
+1.6%
+1.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
+2.1%
-3.8%
3%
Pop up
+0.5%
+1.0%
35.6% of Austin Riley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.3% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.7%
+1.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.8%
+0.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.6%
-1.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.2%
-4.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
+11.3%
+3.6%
11.5% of Austin Riley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 5.3% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at this angle, which is 6.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-2.1%
+5.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.8%
+1.8%
8%
1 to 6°
-2.3%
-2.0%
18%
7 to 18°
+2.8%
+2.7%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.3%
-2.1%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.0%
-6.2%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.9%
-1.8%
8%
Above 50°
+2.2%
+1.9%
Austin Riley has 18 plate appearances against David Peterson in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 15 with 3 walks
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 18 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 3.34 | 0.02 | 0.31 | 3.01 | 0.222 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-07-28 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-07-28 | Walk | ||||
| 2024-07-28 | Single | 2% | 89% | 9% | |
| 2023-08-21 | GIDP | 18% | 82% | ||
| 2023-08-21 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-08-21 | Flyout | 2% | 1% | 97% | |
| 2023-04-28 | Walk | ||||
| 2023-04-28 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-04-28 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-10-01 | Single | 27% | 73% | ||
| 2022-08-06 | Groundout | 9% | 91% | ||
| 2022-08-06 | Single | 8% | 43% | 49% | |
| 2022-08-06 | Pop Out | 1% | 98% | ||
| 2022-07-12 | Single | 17% | 55% | 28% | |
| 2022-07-12 | Groundout | 5% | 95% | ||
| 2022-05-03 | Single | 51% | 48% | ||
| 2022-05-03 | Lineout | 2% | 2% | 96% | |
| 2022-05-03 | Walk | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
