Matchup Machine

Austin Riley

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matchup for Tanner Houck

400th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Austin Riley

250th out of 567 (Best 45%)

Strong advantage for Riley
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Model Prediction

Austin Riley has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 1.0% higher than Riley's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%24.2%2.9%6.1%15.2%10.0%20.8%
Riley+1.0+0.2-0.9+0.1+1.0+0.8-5.9
Houck+2.4+2.1+0.8+1.7-0.4+0.3+1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Riley is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Riley has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Austin Riley has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

15.5% of Austin Riley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.6% -1.6% 4%         Walk -0.3% +0.2% 40%         In Play -1.3% +1.4% 39%         On Base +1.5% +0.4% 31%         Hit +1.8% +0.3% 14%         Single -0.7% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +2.8% -0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years