Matchup Machine

Austin Riley

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

399th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Austin Riley

71st out of 567 (Best 13%)

Extreme advantage for Riley
10

Model Prediction

Austin Riley has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.3% higher than Riley's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.5%25.8%6.0%6.2%13.6%9.7%25.3%
Riley+2.3+1.8+2.2+0.2-0.6+0.4-1.4
Flaherty+1.3+2.5+2.4+1.1-0.9-1.3+2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Riley is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Riley has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Austin Riley has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

15.5% of Austin Riley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.6% +5.8% 4%         Walk -0.3% -1.5% 40%         In Play -1.3% -4.3% 39%         On Base +1.5% -2.0% 31%         Hit +1.8% -0.5% 14%         Single -0.7% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +2.8% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years