Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Riley

matchup for Aaron Civale

390th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

Aaron Civale

matchup for Austin Riley

308th out of 564 (Worst 46%)

Strong advantage for Riley

Austin Riley has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 1.5% lower than Riley's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Civale.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	22.9%	4.3%	5.4%	13.2%	8.7%	25.1%
Riley	-1.5	-1.0	+0.6	-0.5	-1.0	-0.5	-1.6
Civale	+2.2	+1.5	+1.2	+1.1	-0.8	+0.7	+3.6

Austin Riley is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Riley has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Austin Riley has a C grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

21%

Curve (R)

20%

4-Seam (R)

11%

Slider (R)

10%

21% of Aaron Civale's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

20% of Aaron Civale's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 20%

+15%

Medium Break 24%

+15%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

15.5% of Austin Riley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% +0.4% 4%

Walk -0.3% -1.3% 40%

In Play -1.3% +1.0% 39%

On Base +1.5% -0.9% 31%

Hit +1.8% +0.5% 14%

Single -0.7% 0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +0.3% 3%

Home Run +2.8% +0.1%

27.7% of Austin Riley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Aaron Civale induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% +0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.0% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% -1.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.4% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.1% -0.7% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +1.8%

35.6% of Austin Riley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.3% higher than the league average. 25.0% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Civale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.6% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -3.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.3% +0.7%

11.5% of Austin Riley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Civale are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%