Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Riley

matchup for Caleb Thielbar

216th out of 436 (Best 50%)

Caleb Thielbar

matchup for Austin Riley

439th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Riley

Austin Riley has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 1.6% lower than Riley's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Thielbar.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.6%	21.0%	3.4%	5.6%	12.0%	10.6%	32.7%
Riley	-1.6	-2.9	-0.4	-0.4	-2.2	+1.4	+6.0
Thielbar	-0.2	-0.7	+0.1	+0.5	-1.4	+0.5	+4.7

Austin Riley is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Riley has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Austin Riley has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Slider (L)

29%

Curve (L)

22%

16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Austin Riley has an A- grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 50%

+21%

Small Break 29%

+21%

Slow Lob 22%

+18%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

15.5% of Austin Riley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% +5.2% 4%

Walk -0.3% +1.9% 40%

In Play -1.3% -7.1% 39%

On Base +1.5% -6.1% 31%

Hit +1.8% -8.0% 14%

Single -0.7% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -3.9% 3%

Home Run +2.8% +0.2%

27.7% of Austin Riley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.0% -3.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.4% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.1% +2.4% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +5.0%

35.6% of Austin Riley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.3% higher than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.6% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.3% -1.0%

11.5% of Austin Riley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%