Matchup Machine

Nico Hoerner

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matchup for Logan Allen

194th out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Logan Allen

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matchup for Nico Hoerner

42nd out of 567 (Best 8%)

Extreme advantage for Hoerner
10

Model Prediction

Nico Hoerner has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 2.4% higher than Hoerner's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Allen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.3%28.8%1.6%7.3%19.8%6.6%6.7%
Hoerner+2.4+1.2+0.2+1.6-0.6+1.2-4.0
Allen-1.7+4.3-2.2+1.5+5.0-6.0-10.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Nico Hoerner is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Logan Allen is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hoerner has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Nico Hoerner has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Changeup (L)
19%
   Cutter (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

5.9% of Nico Hoerner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.6% -4.2% 5%         Walk -2.1% +1.6% 33%         In Play +16.7% +2.6% 39%         On Base +9.8% +1.5% 31%         Hit +11.9% -0.1% 14%         Single +6.6% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +7.0% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.8% +1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years