Matchup Machine

Nico Hoerner

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matchup for Logan Gillaspie

351st out of 436 (Worst 20%)

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Logan Gillaspie

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matchup for Nico Hoerner

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Hoerner
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Model Prediction

Nico Hoerner has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 0.4% higher than Hoerner's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%29.4%1.3%5.3%22.8%4.0%7.6%
Hoerner+0.4+1.8-0.1-0.4+2.3-1.4-3.2
Gillaspie+1.8+4.1-1.4-0.2+5.7-2.3-11.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Nico Hoerner is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hoerner has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Nico Hoerner has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
46%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

5.9% of Nico Hoerner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.6% -9.1% 5%         Walk -2.1% -5.0% 33%         In Play +16.7% +14.2% 39%         On Base +9.8% +11.5% 31%         Hit +11.9% +16.6% 14%         Single +6.6% +8.6% 13%         2B / 3B +7.0% +7.8% 3%         Home Run -1.8% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years