Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nico Hoerner

matchup for Dean Kremer

378th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Dean Kremer

matchup for Nico Hoerner

410th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Moderate advantage for Hoerner

Nico Hoerner has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 1.0% lower than Hoerner's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Kremer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	25.8%	1.3%	4.9%	19.6%	6.2%	10.5%
Hoerner	-1.0	-1.8	-0.1	-0.9	-0.8	+0.8	-0.3
Kremer	+1.9	+5.3	-1.5	+0.6	+6.3	-3.5	-14.7

Nico Hoerner is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hoerner has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Nico Hoerner has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Cutter (R)

25%

Curve (R)

12%

Sinker (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

12% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Nico Hoerner has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

74% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Nico Hoerner has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 74%

+20%

5.9% of Nico Hoerner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -14.6% -0.3% 5%

Walk -2.1% +0.8% 33%

In Play +16.7% -0.4% 39%

On Base +9.8% +1.3% 31%

Hit +11.9% +0.6% 14%

Single +6.6% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B +7.0% +0.1% 3%

Home Run -1.8% +0.8%

40.3% of Nico Hoerner's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Dean Kremer induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.9% -3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.4% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +3.6% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.4% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer -2.6% +2.0% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.4% +2.0% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +1.8%

14.4% of Nico Hoerner's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.9% lower than the league average. 24.3% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.2% +0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.1% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.6% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.1% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.9% 0.0%

10.4% of Nico Hoerner's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.4% +0.8% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.8% -3.1% 8%

1 to 6° -0.8% -1.0% 18%

7 to 18° +1.3% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.1% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° -1.9% +2.6% 8%

Above 50° -0.6% +4.0%

Nico Hoerner has 6 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.95	0.00	0.09	0.85			0.158

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-09	Flyout			81%	19%
2024-07-09	Hit By Pitch
2024-07-09	Flyout			1%	98%
2023-06-18	Lineout		8%	3%	89%
2023-06-18	Flyout				100%
2023-06-18	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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