Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lars Nootbaar

matchup for Jared Jones

400th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Lars Nootbaar

287th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Strong advantage for Nootbaar

Lars Nootbaar has a 36.2% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.6% higher than Nootbaar's typical expectations, and 5.2% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.2%	20.3%	2.9%	5.2%	12.2%	15.9%	24.6%
Nootbaar	+1.6	-1.0	+0.1	+0.3	-1.4	+2.6	+4.1
Jones	+5.2	-0.5	0.0	+0.2	-0.7	+5.7	-3.9

Lars Nootbaar is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Nootbaar has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Lars Nootbaar has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Lars Nootbaar has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Lars Nootbaar has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

11.2% of Lars Nootbaar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.7% +0.4% 2%

Walk +5.6% +0.6% 40%

In Play +0.1% -1.1% 39%

On Base +5.2% -0.1% 31%

Hit -0.4% -0.8% 14%

Single -0.7% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.2% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.5% +0.9%

35.2% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.8% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.2% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -4.9% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +1.5% +2.5%

26.5% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.2% +0.4%

10.4% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%