Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lars Nootbaar

matchup for Chase Silseth

340th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

Chase Silseth

matchup for Lars Nootbaar

out of 564 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Nootbaar

Lars Nootbaar has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Chase Silseth, which is 0.1% higher than Nootbaar's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Silseth.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.6%	19.5%	2.5%	3.9%	13.1%	15.0%	25.2%
Nootbaar	-0.1	-1.8	-0.4	-1.0	-0.4	+1.7	+4.6
Silseth	+2.4	-1.1	-0.3	0.0	-0.8	+3.4	-3.3

Lars Nootbaar is better vs right-handed pitching. Chase Silseth is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Nootbaar has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Chase Silseth throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Lars Nootbaar has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Slider (R)

24%

Splitter (R)

17%

Sinker (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

9% of Chase Silseth's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Lars Nootbaar has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

35% of Chase Silseth's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Lars Nootbaar has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 35%

+16%

Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Large Drop 14%

+9%

11.2% of Lars Nootbaar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Chase Silseth strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.7% +5.2% 2%

Walk +5.6% +4.8% 40%

In Play +0.1% -10.0% 39%

On Base +5.2% -0.6% 31%

Hit -0.4% -5.4% 14%

Single -0.7% -3.2% 13%

2B / 3B -0.2% -2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.5% +0.5%

35.2% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Chase Silseth induces Standard Grounders at a 35.7% rate, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.8% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% +1.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.2% -0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -4.9% -2.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.6% +3.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% +1.3% 3%

Pop up +1.5% -0.8%

26.5% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 29.9% of batted balls allowed by Chase Silseth are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% -5.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% +4.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% -4.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.2% +5.6%

10.4% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Chase Silseth are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +6.0% -1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% +0.9% 8%

1 to 6° -0.5% -2.4% 18%

7 to 18° -2.9% +6.1% 15%

19 to 28° -1.2% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% +1.4% 7%

39 to 50° -0.4% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +1.5% -3.8%

Lars Nootbaar has 1 plate appearance against Chase Silseth in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01			0.022

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-03	Groundout			1%	98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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