Matchup Machine

Lars Nootbaar

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

391st out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Lars Nootbaar

369th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Nootbaar
5

Model Prediction

Lars Nootbaar has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.3% higher than Nootbaar's typical expectations, and 4.5% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.3%20.0%2.3%4.8%12.9%14.3%19.7%
Nootbaar-0.3-1.3-0.6-0.1-0.6+1.0-0.9
Weathers+4.5-1.5+0.2-0.7-1.0+6.0-5.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Lars Nootbaar is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Nootbaar has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Lars Nootbaar has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

11.2% of Lars Nootbaar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.7% -2.1% 2%         Walk +5.6% -0.6% 40%         In Play +0.1% +2.7% 39%         On Base +5.2% +0.9% 31%         Hit -0.4% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.7% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years