Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lars Nootbaar

matchup for Tarik Skubal

354th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

Tarik Skubal

matchup for Lars Nootbaar

561st out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Moderate advantage for Skubal

Lars Nootbaar has a 26.5% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 8.2% lower than Nootbaar's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Skubal.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.5%	19.7%	2.3%	4.4%	13.0%	6.8%	25.5%
Nootbaar	-8.2	-1.7	-0.5	-0.6	-0.6	-6.5	+5.0
Skubal	+1.2	-0.3	+0.1	+0.3	-0.8	+1.6	-4.2

Lars Nootbaar is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Nootbaar has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Lars Nootbaar has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

37%

Slider (L)

21%

Changeup (L)

20%

Sinker (L)

16%

Kn-Curve (L)

15% of Tarik Skubal's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Lars Nootbaar has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

16% of Tarik Skubal's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Lars Nootbaar has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 16%

+13%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

11.2% of Lars Nootbaar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.7% +6.3% 2%

Walk +5.6% -3.3% 40%

In Play +0.1% -3.0% 39%

On Base +5.2% -5.6% 31%

Hit -0.4% -2.3% 14%

Single -0.7% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.2% -1.0% 3%

Home Run +0.5% 0.0%

35.2% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Tarik Skubal induces Standard Grounders at a 37.0% rate, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.8% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% +2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.2% -2.7% 14%

Low Screamer -4.9% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.6% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% +2.8% 3%

Pop up +1.5% +0.6%

26.5% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 23.2% of batted balls allowed by Tarik Skubal are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% -1.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% +0.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% -0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.2% -1.1%

10.4% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Tarik Skubal are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%