Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lars Nootbaar

matchup for Cole Winn

392nd out of 436 (Worst 10%)

Cole Winn

matchup for Lars Nootbaar

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Nootbaar

Lars Nootbaar has a 38.1% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 3.5% higher than Nootbaar's typical expectations, and 3.8% higher than batters facing Winn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.1%	23.2%	2.8%	5.8%	14.6%	14.9%	17.3%
Nootbaar	+3.5	+1.9	0.0	+0.8	+1.1	+1.6	-3.2
Winn	+3.8	-1.6	+0.0	-0.3	-1.4	+5.4	-3.8

Lars Nootbaar is better vs right-handed pitching. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Nootbaar has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Lars Nootbaar has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Slider (R)

27%

Splitter (R)

18%

Sinker (R)

15% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Lars Nootbaar has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

37% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Lars Nootbaar has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 37%

+17%

Medium Slow Velo 29%

+16%

Small Drop 22%

+9%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

11.2% of Lars Nootbaar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.7% -4.3% 2%

Walk +5.6% -3.6% 40%

In Play +0.1% +7.9% 39%

On Base +5.2% +6.4% 31%

Hit -0.4% +10.0% 14%

Single -0.7% +5.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.2% +6.0% 3%

Home Run +0.5% -1.5%

35.2% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Cole Winn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.7% rate, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.8% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% -1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.2% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -4.9% +2.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.6% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% +5.0% 3%

Pop up +1.5% -1.3%

26.5% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% -6.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% +6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.2% -0.7%

10.4% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%