Matchup Machine

Lars Nootbaar

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matchup for Yonny Chirinos

357th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Yonny Chirinos

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matchup for Lars Nootbaar

157th out of 567 (Best 29%)

Extreme advantage for Nootbaar
9

Model Prediction

Lars Nootbaar has a 37.0% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 2.3% higher than Nootbaar's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Chirinos.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.0%22.8%2.9%4.8%15.1%14.2%17.5%
Nootbaar+2.3+1.4+0.1-0.2+1.5+0.9-3.0
Chirinos+2.8-1.1-0.1-0.4-0.5+3.9-2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Lars Nootbaar is better vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Nootbaar has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Lars Nootbaar has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
20%

Contact and Outcomes

11.2% of Lars Nootbaar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.7% -7.8% 2%         Walk +5.6% -0.6% 40%         In Play +0.1% +8.3% 39%         On Base +5.2% +2.3% 31%         Hit -0.4% +2.9% 14%         Single -0.7% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +1.4% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years