Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lars Nootbaar

matchup for Seth Lugo

371st out of 436 (Worst 15%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Lars Nootbaar

252nd out of 567 (Best 45%)

Strong advantage for Nootbaar

Lars Nootbaar has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.4% higher than Nootbaar's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.1%	23.6%	3.6%	4.8%	15.2%	11.5%	21.5%
Nootbaar	+0.4	+2.3	+0.8	-0.1	+1.6	-1.8	+1.0
Lugo	+2.6	-0.3	+0.5	-0.1	-0.7	+2.9	-3.3

Lars Nootbaar is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Nootbaar has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Lars Nootbaar has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Lars Nootbaar has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Lars Nootbaar has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

11.2% of Lars Nootbaar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.7% +0.8% 2%

Walk +5.6% -2.3% 40%

In Play +0.1% +1.4% 39%

On Base +5.2% -0.4% 31%

Hit -0.4% +1.9% 14%

Single -0.7% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -0.2% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +0.5% +0.1%

35.2% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.8% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.2% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -4.9% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.6% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +1.5% -2.2%

26.5% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.2% -1.6%

10.4% of Lars Nootbaar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%