Blake Perkins has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 2.8% higher than Perkins's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Suarez.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 32.9% | 22.5% | 1.4% | 5.3% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 23.1% |
Perkins | +2.8 | +2.3 | -0.2 | +0.7 | +1.8 | +0.5 | -2.2 |
Suarez | -1.2 | -2.3 | -1.0 | -0.3 | -1.0 | +1.2 | -1.2 |
Blake Perkins is better vs left-handed pitching. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Perkins doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Blake Perkins hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
13% of Ranger Suarez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Blake Perkins hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
33% of Ranger Suarez's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Blake Perkins has a B grade against this type of pitch.
14.9% of Blake Perkins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
37.8% of Blake Perkins's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Ranger Suarez induces Standard Grounders at a 45.7% rate, which is 11.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
9.3% of Blake Perkins's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% lower than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Ranger Suarez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
12.0% of Blake Perkins's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 7.9% of batted balls allowed by Ranger Suarez are hit at this angle, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Blake Perkins has 3 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.93 | 0.327 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-09-16 | Single | 86% | 13% | ||
2024-09-16 | Lineout | 5% | 6% | 89% | |
2024-09-16 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.