Matchup Machine

      Blake Perkins

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      matchup for Ranger Suarez

      119th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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      Ranger Suarez

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      matchup for Blake Perkins

      156th out of 564 (Best 28%)

      Leans in favor of Perkins
      2

      Model Prediction

      Blake Perkins has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 2.8% higher than Perkins's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Suarez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Blake Perkins is better vs left-handed pitching. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Perkins doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Blake Perkins hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      33%
         4-Seam (L)
      21%
         Changeup (L)
      20%
         Curve (L)
      12%
         Cutter (L)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      14.9% of Blake Perkins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.5% +0.1% 3%         Walk +2.7% -1.2% 41%         In Play -3.2% +1.1% 39%         On Base -0.4% +1.9% 31%         Hit -3.0% +3.1% 14%         Single -1.0% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% +2.2% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -0.9%

      History

      Blake Perkins has 3 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual331001100.333
      Expected From Contact →0.980.000.050.930.327
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-09-16Single86%13%
      2024-09-16Lineout5%6%89%
      2024-09-16Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.