Matchup Machine

Blake Perkins

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matchup for Austin Gomber

139th out of 436 (Best 33%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Blake Perkins

76th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Moderate advantage for Perkins
4

Model Prediction

Blake Perkins has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.8% higher than Perkins's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%24.8%2.0%6.8%16.0%6.1%16.0%
Perkins+0.8+4.6+0.3+2.2+2.1-3.8-9.3
Gomber-0.8-1.1-1.4+0.2+0.1+0.3-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Blake Perkins is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Perkins has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Blake Perkins has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

14.9% of Blake Perkins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.5% -3.3% 3%         Walk +2.7% -2.5% 41%         In Play -3.2% +5.9% 39%         On Base -0.4% +0.6% 31%         Hit -3.0% +3.1% 14%         Single -1.0% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.4% +0.3%

History

Blake Perkins has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.710.000.130.580.353
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-01Single13%58%29%
2024-07-01Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.