Matchup Machine

Blake Perkins

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matchup for Zack Wheeler

106th out of 436 (Best 25%)

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Zack Wheeler

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matchup for Blake Perkins

540th out of 567 (Worst 5%)

Extreme advantage for Wheeler
9

Model Prediction

Blake Perkins has a 24.6% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 5.5% lower than Perkins's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Wheeler.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.6%16.1%1.9%3.7%10.5%8.6%34.7%
Perkins-5.5-4.1+0.2-1.0-3.4-1.4+9.4
Wheeler-1.2-1.7-0.6-0.7-0.4+0.5+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Blake Perkins is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Perkins has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Blake Perkins has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

14.9% of Blake Perkins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.5% +7.9% 3%         Walk +2.7% -2.6% 41%         In Play -3.2% -5.3% 39%         On Base -0.4% -6.2% 31%         Hit -3.0% -3.6% 14%         Single -1.0% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -1.0%

History

Blake Perkins has 2 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222002001.000
Expected From Contact →1.630.000.011.610.814
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-03Single1%86%13%
2024-06-03Single76%24%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.