Blake Perkins has a 24.6% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 5.5% lower than Perkins's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Wheeler.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 24.6% | 16.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 34.7% |
Perkins | -5.5 | -4.1 | +0.2 | -1.0 | -3.4 | -1.4 | +9.4 |
Wheeler | -1.2 | -1.7 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.4 | +0.5 | +2.3 |
Blake Perkins is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Perkins has a D- grade vs this particular release point.
Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Blake Perkins has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
14.9% of Blake Perkins's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Blake Perkins has 2 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.61 | 0.814 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-06-03 | Single | 1% | 86% | 13% | |
2024-06-03 | Single | 76% | 24% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.