Matchup Machine

Daulton Varsho

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matchup for C. Sanchez

177th out of 436 (Best 41%)

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Cristopher Sanchez

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matchup for Daulton Varsho

383rd out of 567 (Worst 33%)

Moderate advantage for Sanchez
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Model Prediction

Daulton Varsho has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Cristopher Sanchez, which is 0.8% lower than Varsho's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Sanchez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.6%21.6%2.1%4.3%15.2%7.1%27.7%
Varsho-0.8+2.6-0.8-0.3+3.7-3.3+0.1
Sanchez+0.1-0.7-0.2-0.9+0.3+0.9+1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Daulton Varsho is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Cristopher Sanchez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Varsho has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cristopher Sanchez throws a Sinker 49% of the time. Daulton Varsho has a D+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
49%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Slider (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

16.4% of Daulton Varsho's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.0% -2.7% 4%         Walk +1.1% -2.4% 41%         In Play -4.0% +5.1% 39%         On Base -8.2% +1.4% 31%         Hit -9.3% +3.7% 14%         Single -5.0% +2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -4.6% +2.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -1.0%

History

Daulton Varsho has 3 plate appearances against Cristopher Sanchez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010100.333
Expected From Contact →1.270.000.480.800.424
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-04Strikeout
2024-09-04Double42%52%6%
2024-09-04Lineout5%28%67%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.