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Daulton Varsho

matchup for Zach Eflin

178th out of 436 (Best 42%)

Zach Eflin

matchup for Daulton Varsho

187th out of 567 (Best 34%)

Moderate advantage for Varsho

Daulton Varsho has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 0.3% higher than Varsho's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Eflin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.1%	22.7%	3.3%	5.9%	13.5%	7.4%	23.0%
Varsho	+0.3	+3.2	+0.3	+1.3	+1.6	-3.0	-4.6
Eflin	-1.0	-1.8	+0.2	+0.1	-2.1	+0.8	+2.1

Daulton Varsho is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Varsho has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Daulton Varsho has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

33%

Curve (R)

19%

Cutter (R)

16%

Slider (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

12% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Daulton Varsho has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

35% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Daulton Varsho has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 35%

+20%

Just Gravity 31%

+17%

Extreme Slow Velo 17%

+12%

16.4% of Daulton Varsho's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.0% -0.2% 4%

Walk +1.1% -4.0% 41%

In Play -4.0% +4.1% 39%

On Base -8.2% -3.8% 31%

Hit -9.3% +0.2% 14%

Single -5.0% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -4.6% 0.0% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +0.1%

29.3% of Daulton Varsho's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.1% rate, which is 1.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.1% +1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% -0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -0.4% -0.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.2% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +5.6% +0.2%

20.9% of Daulton Varsho's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.3% +1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.7% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.6% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.0% -3.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.4% +1.2%

12.4% of Daulton Varsho's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 10.4% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.9% +1.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.4% +0.6% 8%

1 to 6° -1.6% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° -2.5% -1.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.7% -0.7% 11%

29 to 38° +0.9% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +2.2% +1.6% 8%

Above 50° +6.9% -0.4%

Daulton Varsho has 14 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 12 with a double and 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	12	1	0	1	0	1	2	0.083
Expected From Contact →			1.13	0.00	0.58	0.55			0.094

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-29	Pop Out			1%	99%
2024-07-29	Pop Out		7%	21%	72%
2024-07-29	Flyout			2%	97%
2024-07-24	Strikeout
2024-07-24	Flyout				99%
2024-05-18	Double		41%	4%	55%
2024-05-18	Flyout				99%
2024-05-18	Pop Out		2%	1%	96%
2024-03-28	Flyout				99%
2024-03-28	Groundout			9%	91%
2024-03-28	Walk
2023-05-25	Walk
2023-05-25	Groundout		3%	15%	83%
2023-05-25	Flyout		3%		97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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