Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

William Contreras

matchup for Roki Sasaki

309th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

Roki Sasaki

matchup for W. Contreras

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Contreras

William Contreras has a 39.4% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 4.0% higher than Contreras's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Sasaki.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	39.4%	22.2%	2.9%	5.7%	13.7%	17.2%	22.6%
Contreras	+4.0	+0.1	+0.1	+0.6	-0.7	+3.9	-0.7
Sasaki	+2.3	-0.4	-0.2	-0.6	+0.3	+2.7	0.0

William Contreras is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Contreras has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. William Contreras has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

60%

Splitter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

15%

9% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 0% higher than the MLB average. William Contreras has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-3%

Strong Challenge 1%

-4%

Chaser 1%

-5%

Meatball 1%

-5%

Likely Ball 13%

-7%

Mid Challenge 3%

-9%

52% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. William Contreras has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 52%

+31%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Offspeed (R) 26%

+14%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

13.4% of William Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.0% -4.7% 3%

Walk +3.5% +27.6% 40%

In Play -1.5% -23.0% 39%

On Base +4.8% +14.9% 31%

Hit +1.3% -12.8% 14%

Single -0.3% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -6.7% 3%

Home Run +1.4% -3.1%

40.8% of William Contreras's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Roki Sasaki induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +8.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.4% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -7.8% -6.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.6% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.5% -2.5% 3%

Pop up 0.0% +15.2%

37.5% of William Contreras's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.2% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at above 100 mph, which is 24.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% +10.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -6.2% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.7% +17.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.4% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.2% -24.3%

7.1% of William Contreras's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%