matchup for Shota Imanaga
matchup for W. Contreras
4
William Contreras has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Shota Imanaga, which is 2.6% lower than Contreras's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Imanaga.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.0% | 21.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 25.8% |
| Contreras | -2.6 | +0.3 | +0.8 | +0.4 | -0.9 | -2.9 | +1.9 |
| Imanaga | +3.1 | -0.3 | +0.1 | -0.5 | +0.1 | +3.5 | +1.2 |
William Contreras is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Shota Imanaga is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Contreras has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Shota Imanaga throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. William Contreras has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
52%
Splitter (L)
31%
Slider (L)
8%
10% of Shota Imanaga's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. William Contreras has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
10%
+4%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-2%
Weak Challenge
4%
-5%
62% of Shota Imanaga's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 40% higher than the MLB average. William Contreras has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
62%
+40%
Offspeed (L)
35%
+22%
Very Slow Velo
36%
+20%
High Ride
27%
+17%
13.6% of William Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. Shota Imanaga strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-1.7%
+0.3%
3%
Walk
+3.7%
-2.9%
40%
In Play
-1.9%
+2.7%
39%
On Base
+4.6%
-5.5%
31%
Hit
+0.9%
-2.6%
14%
Single
-0.5%
-2.0%
13%
2B / 3B
0.0%
-1.5%
3%
Home Run
+1.4%
+0.9%
40.9% of William Contreras's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Shota Imanaga induces Standard Grounders at a 29.7% rate, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.1%
+0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
+6.5%
-4.7%
7%
Hard Grounder
+4.1%
+0.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-7.8%
-3.6%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.0%
-2.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.2%
+1.6%
3%
Likely Homer
+2.7%
-0.1%
1%
No Doubter
-0.6%
-0.3%
20%
Routine Flyout
-5.6%
+4.9%
3%
Pop up
0.0%
+3.5%
37.5% of William Contreras's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.2% higher than the league average. 19.6% of batted balls allowed by Shota Imanaga are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-0.8%
-1.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-6.2%
-4.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.7%
+2.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-3.4%
+8.1%
24%
Above 100 mph
+13.2%
-4.7%
7.0% of William Contreras's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. 15.3% of batted balls allowed by Shota Imanaga are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+6.4%
+1.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
+4.3%
+2.5%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.2%
-6.8%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.3%
-4.9%
15%
19 to 28°
-3.3%
-0.2%
11%
29 to 38°
-4.4%
+3.8%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.3%
-1.3%
8%
Above 50°
-1.5%
+5.7%
William Contreras has 3 plate appearances against Shota Imanaga in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.53 | 0.01 | 0.40 | 0.12 | 0.176 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-05-29 | Lineout | 39% | 4% | 57% | |
| 2024-05-29 | Groundout | 1% | 8% | 91% | |
| 2024-05-29 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
