Matchup Machine

William Contreras

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matchup for Matt Festa

386th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

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Matt Festa

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matchup for W. Contreras

321st out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Strong advantage for Contreras
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Model Prediction

William Contreras has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 1.0% lower than Contreras's typical expectations, and 3.6% higher than batters facing Festa.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.4%22.6%2.9%6.2%13.5%11.9%24.7%
Contreras-1.0+0.4+0.1+1.1-0.9-1.4+1.4
Festa+3.6-0.8+0.1+0.4-1.3+4.4-0.6

Handedness and Release Point

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William Contreras is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Contreras has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. William Contreras has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
47%
   4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of William Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% +2.6% 3%         Walk +3.5% +3.5% 40%         In Play -1.5% -6.1% 39%         On Base +4.8% +0.8% 31%         Hit +1.3% -2.7% 14%         Single -0.3% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -0.2%

History

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