Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

William Contreras

matchup for Tarik Skubal

335th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

Tarik Skubal

matchup for W. Contreras

556th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Strong advantage for Skubal

William Contreras has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 7.1% lower than Contreras's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Skubal.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.3%	20.8%	2.4%	3.7%	14.7%	7.6%	32.5%
Contreras	-7.1	-1.4	-0.4	-1.3	+0.3	-5.7	+9.2
Skubal	+3.1	+0.8	+0.1	-0.3	+0.9	+2.3	+2.8

William Contreras is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Contreras has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. William Contreras has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

37%

Slider (L)

21%

Changeup (L)

20%

Sinker (L)

16%

Kn-Curve (L)

15% of Tarik Skubal's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. William Contreras has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

16% of Tarik Skubal's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. William Contreras has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 16%

+13%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

13.4% of William Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.0% +6.3% 3%

Walk +3.5% -3.3% 40%

In Play -1.5% -3.0% 39%

On Base +4.8% -5.6% 31%

Hit +1.3% -2.3% 14%

Single -0.3% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -1.0% 3%

Home Run +1.4% 0.0%

40.8% of William Contreras's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Tarik Skubal induces Standard Grounders at a 37.0% rate, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.4% +2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% -2.7% 14%

Low Screamer -7.8% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer +2.6% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.5% +2.8% 3%

Pop up 0.0% +0.6%

37.5% of William Contreras's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.2% higher than the league average. 23.2% of batted balls allowed by Tarik Skubal are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -1.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -6.2% +0.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.7% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.4% -0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.2% -1.1%

7.1% of William Contreras's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Tarik Skubal are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%