Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

William Contreras

matchup for Ross Stripling

400th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

Ross Stripling

matchup for W. Contreras

44th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Extreme advantage for Contreras

William Contreras has a 37.6% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 2.2% higher than Contreras's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Stripling.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.6%	27.5%	3.0%	6.5%	18.0%	10.1%	11.4%
Contreras	+2.2	+5.4	+0.2	+1.4	+3.7	-3.2	-11.8
Stripling	+2.7	-1.4	+0.3	+0.5	-2.3	+4.2	-1.5

William Contreras is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Contreras has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. William Contreras has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

19%

Kn-Curve (R)

16%

Sinker (R)

9% of Ross Stripling's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. William Contreras has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

20% of Ross Stripling's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. William Contreras has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 20%

+11%

Extreme Drop 15%

+10%

Medium Velo 19%

+8%

13.4% of William Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.0% +3.2% 3%

Walk +3.5% -2.9% 40%

In Play -1.5% -0.3% 39%

On Base +4.8% -3.9% 31%

Hit +1.3% -0.9% 14%

Single -0.3% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.4% -0.1%

40.8% of William Contreras's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Ross Stripling induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.4% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -7.8% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% +2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +2.6% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.5% +0.3% 3%

Pop up 0.0% -0.8%

37.5% of William Contreras's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.2% higher than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Ross Stripling are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -0.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -6.2% -2.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.7% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.4% +2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.2% -0.9%

7.1% of William Contreras's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Ross Stripling are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +6.2% 0.0% 12%

-10 to 0° +4.4% +2.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.1% -1.7% 18%

7 to 18° -0.3% +2.7% 15%

19 to 28° -3.3% +0.2% 11%

29 to 38° -4.3% -1.5% 7%

39 to 50° -1.3% -0.2% 8%

Above 50° -1.5% -1.8%

William Contreras has 4 plate appearances against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			1.73	0.96	0.03	0.74			0.432

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-23	Lineout			67%	33%
2023-05-07	Strikeout
2023-05-07	Home Run	96%	3%
2023-05-07	Groundout			7%	93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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