Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

William Contreras

matchup for Jordan Lyles

418th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

Jordan Lyles

matchup for W. Contreras

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Contreras

William Contreras has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 3.2% higher than Contreras's typical expectations, and 4.9% higher than batters facing Lyles.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.6%	24.8%	4.1%	6.3%	14.4%	13.8%	17.2%
Contreras	+3.2	+2.6	+1.3	+1.2	+0.1	+0.6	-6.1
Lyles	+4.9	+0.6	+0.7	+0.5	-0.6	+4.4	-1.1

William Contreras is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Contreras has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. William Contreras has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

35%

Slider (R)

23%

Curve (R)

17%

Sinker (R)

12%

Changeup (R)

10%

9% of Jordan Lyles's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. William Contreras has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

16% of Jordan Lyles's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. William Contreras has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 16%

+12%

Medium Velo 21%

+10%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

Breaking (R) 40%

+9%

13.4% of William Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.0% +0.8% 3%

Walk +3.5% -2.3% 40%

In Play -1.5% +1.5% 39%

On Base +4.8% -4.1% 31%

Hit +1.3% -1.7% 14%

Single -0.3% -1.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.4% -0.1%

40.8% of William Contreras's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Jordan Lyles induces Standard Grounders at a 26.4% rate, which is 8.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.4% -8.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% +1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -7.8% 0.0% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.6% +2.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.5% +1.8% 3%

Pop up 0.0% +3.1%

37.5% of William Contreras's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.2% higher than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Lyles are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -2.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -6.2% +1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.7% 0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.4% +0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.2% +0.6%

7.1% of William Contreras's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Lyles are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%